Department of Applied Physics
Earth Sciences
Address:
“Campus da Auga” Building
Rúa Canella da Costa da Vela 12
Universidade de Vigo
32004 Ourense, Spain
Office: 2.4
e-mail: nlorenzo@uvigo.es
Phone: +34 988 387 329
Scopus ID: 7102875437
ORCID iD: 0000-0001-5302-8312
WoS ResearcherID: B-9924-2011
Working Fields
Past, Present and Future Changes in Ocean Circulation: Data and Models: Paloclimatic data suggest that changes in ocean circulation have played an important role in the climatic changes of the recent geologic past. Rapid, high-intensity changes have occurred repeatedly in both ocean circulation and climate during the last glacial period. It is important to study whether similar changes could be repeated in the future. In our research, we try to understand past, present and future changes in ocean circulation, both its mean value and its natural variability. One of the most important topics of our study is to study with simple and intermediate complexity models the sensitivity and stability of the thermohaline circulation to different forcings.
Monthly, seasonal and decadal forecasting: Our research is developed in the study of climate averages and extreme events based on both dynamic and statistical approaches. Typical tools for this study are ensemble forecasting, multi-model approximations, weather types or synoptic patterns…
Atmospheric teleconnection patterns: Atmospheric teleconnection patterns play an important role in understanding climate variability over a wide spatial and temporal range. Our research analyzes the role of such atmospheric patterns on global and regional climate variability and their predictability.
Some of the topics covered are:
- Decadal variability of atmospheric patterns from observational data Proxy data and model simulations.
- The role of teleconnection patterns in climate predictability at global and regional scales.
- Nonlinear aspects of teleconnection patterns including the asymmetry of tropical and extratropical teleconnections and weather regimes.
Dynamic Meteorology: study of the dynamics and predictability of mid-latitude, tropical and polar weather systems, Studies of meteorological phenomena.
Publications
I. Álvarez, H. Pereira, A. Picado, M.C. Sousa, M.N. Lorenzo, J.M. Dias (2024) Projection of Compound Wind and Precipitation Extreme Events in the Iberian Peninsula Based on CMIP6, Earth Systems and Environment, DOI: 10.1007/s41748-024-00429-6 (Published) [pdf]
I. Álvarez, A. Díaz-Poso, M.N. Lorenzo, D. Royé (2024) Heat index historical trends and projections due to climate change in the Mediterranean basin based on CMIP6, Atmospheric Research, Vol. 308, 107512 ; DOI: 10.1016/j.atmosres.2024.107512 (Published) [pdf]
I. Álvarez, H. Pereira, M.N. Lorenzo, A. Picado, M.C. Sousa, J.J. Taboada, J.M. Dias (2024) Drought projections for the NW Iberian Peninsula under climate change, Climate Dynamics, DOI: 10.1007/s00382-023-07084-z (Published) [pdf]
M.N. Lorenzo, H. Pereira, I. Álvarez, J.M. Dias (2024) Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) evolution over the Iberian Peninsula during the 21st century, Atmospheric Research, Vol. 297, 107132; DOI: 10.1016/j.atmosres.2023.107132 (Published) [pdf]
A. Díaz-Poso, M.N. Lorenzo, A. Martí, D. Royé (2023) Cold wave intensity on the Iberian Peninsula: Future climate projections, Atmospheric Research, Vol. 295, 107011 ; DOI: 10.1016/j.atmosres.2023.107011 (Published) [pdf]
A. Díaz-Poso, M.N. Lorenzo, D. Royé (2023) Spatio-temporal evolution of heat waves severity and expansion across the Iberian Peninsula and Balearic islands, Environmental Research, Vol. 217, 114864 DOI: 10.1016/j.envres.2022.114864 (Published) [pdf]
M.N. Lorenzo, I. Álvarez, J.J. Taboada (2022) Drought evolution in the NW Iberian Peninsula over a 60 year period (1960–2020), Journal of Hydrology, Vol. 610, 127923. DOI: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2022.127923 (Published) [pdf]
M.N. Lorenzo, I. Álvarez (2022) Future changes of hot extremes in Spain: towards warmer conditions, Natural Hazards, DOI: 10.1007/s11069-022-05306-x (Published) [pdf]
M.N. Lorenzo, A. Díaz-Poso, D. Royé (2021) Heatwave intensity on the Iberian Peninsula: Future climate projections, Atmospheric Research, Vol. 258, 105655; DOI: 10.1016/j.atmosres.2021.105655 (Published) [pdf]
A. Piña-Rey, E. González-Fernández, Mª. Fernández-González, M.N. Lorenzo, F. J. Rodríguez-Rajo (2020) Climate Change Impacts Assessment on Wine-Growing Bioclimatic Transition Areas, Agriculture, Vol. 10 Issue: 12, 605; DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/agriculture10120605 p: 1-21 (Published) [pdf]
M.N. Lorenzo, I. Álvarez (2020) Climate change patterns in precipitation over Spain using CORDEX projections for 2021–2050, Science of The Total Environment, 2020, Vol. 723, 138024 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.138024 (Published) [pdf]
I. Álvarez, M.N. Lorenzo (2019) Changes in offshore wind power potential over the Mediterranean Sea using CORDEX projections, Regional Environmental Change, Pages 1-10 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-018-1379-6 (Published) [pdf]
D. Royé, M.N. Lorenzo, D. Rasilla, A. Martí (2018) Spatio‐temporal variations of cloud fraction based on circulation types in the Iberian Peninsula, International Journal of Climatology, Vol. 39, 1716-1732 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.5914 (Published) [pdf]
D. Royé, M.N. Lorenzo, J. Martin-Vide (2018) Spatial–temporal patterns of cloud-to-ground lightning over the northwest Iberian Peninsula during the period 2010–2015, Natural Hazards, pp 1–28, DOI https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-018-3228-9 (Published) [pdf]
J. Eiras-Barca, M.N. Lorenzo, J.J. Taboada, A. Robles, G. Miguez-Macho (2018) On the Relationship Between Atmospheric Rivers, Weather Types and Floods in Galicia (NW Spain), Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2017-145 (Published) [pdf]
I. Álvarez, M.N. Lorenzo, M. deCastro, M. Gómez-Gesteira (2017) Coastal upwelling trends under future warming scenariosfrom the CORDEX project along the Galician coast (NWIberian Peninsula), International Journal of Climatology, Vol. 37 Issue: 8 Pages: 3427–3438 DOI: 10.1002/joc.4927 (Published) [pdf]
I. Iglesias, M.N. Lorenzo, C. Lázaro, M.J. Fernandes, L. Bastos (2017) Sea level anomaly in the North Atlantic and seas around Europe: Long-term variability and response to North Atlantic teleconnection patterns, Science of The Total Environment, 609, 861-874, doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2017.07.220 (Published) [pdf]
D. Garaboa-Paz, M.N. Lorenzo, V. Pérez-Muñuzuri (2017) Influence of finite-time Lyapunov exponents on winter precipitation over the Iberian Peninsula, Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, 24, 227-235, doi:10.5194/npg-24-227-2017 (Published) [pdf]
A. Picado, M.N. Lorenzo, I. Álvarez, M. deCastro, N. Vaz, J.M. Dias (2015) Upwelling and Chl-a spatiotemporal variability along the Galician coast: dependence on circulation weather types, International Journal of Climatology, doi: 10.1002/joc.4555 (Published) [pdf]
M.N. Lorenzo, A.M. Ramos, S. Brands (2015) Present and future climate conditions for winegrowing in Spain, Regional Environmental Change, pp 1-11, DOI 10.1007/s10113-015-0883-1 (Published) [pdf]
D. Royé, J.J. Taboada, A. Martí, M.N. Lorenzo (2015) Winter circulation weather types and hospital admissions for respiratory diseases in Galicia, Spain, International Journal of Biometeorology, Pages: 1-14, DOI: 10.1007/s00484-015-1047-1 (Published) [pdf]
A.M. Ramos, M. Sprenger, H. Wernli, A.M. Durán-Quesada, M.N. Lorenzo, L. Gimeno (2014) A new circulation type classification based upon Lagrangian air trajectories, Frontiers in Earth Science, 2:29. doi: 10.3389/feart.2014.00029 (Published) [pdf]
N. Casabella, M.N. Lorenzo, J.J. Taboada (2014) Trends of the Galician upwelling in the context of climate change, Journal of Sea Research, doi: 10.1016/j.seares.2014.01.013 (Published) [pdf]
I. Iglesias, M.N. Lorenzo, J.J. Taboada (2014) Seasonal Predictability of the East Atlantic Pattern from Sea Surface Temperatures , PLoS ONE, 9(1): e86439, doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.008643 (Published) [pdf]
J. Bazo, M.N. Lorenzo, R.P. da Rocha (2013) Relationship between Monthly Rainfall in NW Peru and Tropical Sea Surface Temperature, Advances in Meteorology, vol. 2013, Article ID 152875, 9 pages, 2013. doi:10.1155/2013/152875 (Published) [pdf]
I. Álvarez, M.N. Lorenzo, M. deCastro (2012) Analysis of chlorophyll a concentration along the Galician coast: seasonal variability and trends, ICES Journal of Marine Science, 69(5), 728–738. doi:10.1093/icesjms/fss045 (Published) [pdf]
M.N. Lorenzo, J.J. Taboada, J.F. Lorenzo, A.M. Ramos (2012) Influence of climate on grape production and wine quality in the Rías Baixas, north-western Spain, Regional Environmental Change, DOI 10.1007/s10113-012-0387-1 (Published) [pdf]
M.N. Lorenzo, J.J. Taboada, I. Iglesias, M. Gómez-Gesteira (2011) Predictability of the spring rainfall in Northwestern Iberian Peninsula from sea surfaces temperature of ENSO areas, Climatic Change, Vol. 107, 329–341 DOI: 10.1007/s10584-010-9991-6 (Published) [pdf]
M. Gómez-Gesteira, L. Gimeno, M. deCastro, M.N. Lorenzo, I. Álvarez, R. Nieto, A.J.C. Crespo, A.M. Ramos, J.J. Taboada, F.E. Santo, D. Barriopedro (2011) The state of climate in NW Iberia, Climate Research, 48:109–144 (Published) [pdf]
M.N. Lorenzo, A.M. Ramos, J.J. Taboada, L. Gimeno (2011) Changes in present and future circulation types frequency in northwest Iberian Peninsula, PLoS ONE (Published) [pdf]
I. Álvarez, M. Gómez-Gesteira, M. deCastro, M.N. Lorenzo, A.J.C. Crespo, J.M. Dias (2010) Comparative analysis of upwelling influence between the western and northern coast of the Iberian Peninsula, Continental Shelf Research, Doi: 10.1016/j.csr.2010.07.009 (Published) [pdf]
A.M. Ramos, M.N. Lorenzo, L. Gimeno (2010) Compatibility between modes of flow frequency variability and Circulation Types: a case study of the NW Iberian Peninsula, Journal of Geophysical Research, doi: 10.1029/2009JD012194 (Published) [pdf]
M.N. Lorenzo, J.J. Taboada, I. Iglesias (2009) Sensitivity of thermohaline circulation to decadal and multidecadal variability, ICES Journal of Marine Science, 66, 1439-1447, doi:10.1093/icesjms/fsp061 (Published) [pdf]
M.N. Lorenzo, J.J. Taboada, R. Iglesias (2009) Sensitivity of thermohaline circulation to decadal and multidecadal variability, ICES Journal of Marine Science, doi:10.1093/icesjms/fsp061 (Published) [pdf]
M.N. Lorenzo, R. Iglesias, J.J. Taboada, M. Gómez-Gesteira (2009) Relationship between monthly rainfall in NW Iberian Peninsula and North Atlantic sea surface temperature, International Journal of Climatology, doi:10.1002/joc.1959 (Published) [pdf]
M.N. Lorenzo, J.J. Taboada, R. Iglesias (2009) Sensitivity of thermohaline circulation to decadal and multidecadal variability, ICES Journal of Marine Science, 66, 1439-1447, doi:10.1093/icesjms/fsp061 (Published) [pdf]
M. Gómez-Gesteira, M. deCastro, I. Álvarez, M.N. Lorenzo, J.L. Gómez-Gesteira, A.J.C. Crespo (2008) Spatio-temporal upwelling trends along the Canary Upwelling System (1967-2006), Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences, Special Issue ‘Trends and Directions in Climate Research' 1146, 320-337 (Published) [pdf]
M.N. Lorenzo, J.J. Taboada, R. Iglesias, I. Álvarez (2008) The role of stochastic forcing on the behavior of the Thermohaline circulation, Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences, Special Issue ‘Trends and Directions in Climate Research' 1146, 60-86 (Published) [pdf]
M.N. Lorenzo, J.J. Taboada, L. Gimeno (2008) Links between circulation weather types and teleconnection patterns and their influence on precipitation patterns in Galicia (NW Spain), International Journal of Climatology, 28, 1493-1505 (Published) [pdf]
M. deCastro, M. Gómez-Gesteira, I. Álvarez, M.N. Lorenzo, J.M. Cabanas, R. Prego, A.J.C. Crespo (2008) Characterization of fall-winter upwelling recurrence along the Galician western coast (NW Spain) from 2000 to 2005: Dependence on atmospheric forcing, Journal of Marine Systems, 72, 145-158 (doi: 10.1016/j.jmarsys.2007.04.005) (Published) [pdf]
M. deCastro, M. Gómez-Gesteira, M.N. Lorenzo, I. Álvarez, A.J.C. Crespo (2008) Influence of atmospheric modes on coastal upwelling along the western coast of the Iberian Peninsula, 1985 to 2005, Climate Research, 36, 169-179 (doi: 10.3354/cr00742) (Published) [pdf]
M.N. Lorenzo, J.J. Taboada, L. Gimeno (2008) Links between circulation weather types and teleconnection patterns and their influence on precipitation patterns in Galicia (NW Spain), International Journal of Climatology, Published online in Wiley InterScience (doi:10.1002/joc.1646) (Published) [pdf]
M. deCastro, M.N. Lorenzo, J.J. Taboada, M. Sarmiento, I. Álvarez, M. Gómez-Gesteira (2006) Teleconnection patterns influence on precipitation variability and on river flow regimes in the Miño River Basin (NW Spain), Climate Research, 32, 63-73 (Published) [pdf]
J.J. Taboada, M.N. Lorenzo, V. Pérez-Villar, V. Pérez-Muñuzuri (2005) Effects of the synoptic scale variability on the thermohaline Circulation, Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, 12, 435-439 (Published) [pdf]
N. Montejo, M.N. Lorenzo, V. Pérez-Villar, V. Pérez-Muñuzuri (2005) Noise correlation length effects on a Morris-Lecar neural network, Physical Review E, 72, 011902-1 - 011902-1 (Published) [pdf]
M.N. Lorenzo, N. Montejo, V. Pérez-Muñuzuri, V. Pérez-Villar (2004) Global and Local Noise on Diffusively Coupled Neural Networks, Fluctuatuion and Noise Letters, 4-4, 425-431 (Published) [pdf]
M.N. Lorenzo, N. Montejo, V. Pérez-Muñuzuri, V. Pérez-Villar (2004) Control of the behavior in a neuronal system with time-delay, Annales Geophysicae, 58-60, 705-712 (Published) [pdf]
M. deCastro, M.N. Lorenzo, M. Gómez-Gesteira, V. Pérez-Villar (2003) Nucleation from de boundaries in excitable media, International Journal of Bifurcation and Chaos, 13-9, 2733-2737 (Published) [pdf]
M.N. Lorenzo, M.A Santos, V. Pérez-Muñuzuri (2003) Spatiotemporal stochastic forcing effects in an ensemble consisting of arrays of diffusively coupled Lorenz cells, Chaos, an interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science, 13(3), 913- 920 (Published) [pdf]
V. Pérez-Muñuzuri, M.N. Lorenzo, P. Montero, K. Fraedrich, E. Kirk, F. Lunkeit (2003) Response of a global atmospheric circulation model to spatio-temporal stochastic forcing: Ensemble statistics, Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, 10(6), 453-462 (Published) [pdf]
J.J. Taboada, M.N. Lorenzo (2002) Variability of the thermohaline circulation in a simple coupled atmosphere-ocean model, Geophysical Research Abstracts, 5, 02441-1/02441-2 (Published) [pdf]
V. Pérez-Villar, A.P. Muñuzuri, M.N. Lorenzo, V. Pérez-Muñuzuri (2002) Spiral wave meandering induced, International Journal of Bifurcation and Chaos, 12, 2641-2653 (Published) [pdf]
N. Montejo, M.N. Lorenzo, et al. (2002) Clustering and Synchronization in a One-Dimensional Model for the CA3 Region of the Hippocampus, International Journal of Bifurcation and Chaos, 12, 2641-2653 (Published) [pdf]
M.N. Lorenzo, et al. (2001) Influence of low intensity noise on assemblies of diffusively coupled chaotic cells, International Journal of Bifurcation and Chaos, 11, 2663-2668 (Published) [pdf]
M.N. Lorenzo, et al. (2001) Resonance-like phenomena in arrays of Rössler oscillatiors under correlated parametric fluctuations, Chaos, an interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science, 11, 371-376 (Published) [pdf]
M.N. Lorenzo, et al. (2000) Noise performance of a synchronization scheme through compound chaotic signal, International Journal of Bifurcation and Chaos, 11, 2863-2870 (Published) [pdf]
M.N. Lorenzo, V. Pérez-Muñuzuri (1999) Colored noise-induced chaotic array synchronization, Physical Review E, 60, 2779-2787 (Published) [pdf]
V. Pérez-Muñuzuri, M.N. Lorenzo (1999) Experimental improvement of chaotics syncronization due to multiplicative time-correlated Gaussian noise, International Journal of Bifurcation and Chaos, 9, 2321-2327 (Published) [pdf]
M.A. Matías, J. Güémez, V. Pérez-Muñuzuri, I.P. Mariño, M.N. Lorenzo, V. Pérez-Villar (1997) Size instabilities in rings of chaotic synchronized systems, Europhysics Letters, 37, 379-384 (Published) [pdf]
M.A. Matías, V. Pérez-Muñuzuri, M.N. Lorenzo, I.P. Mariño, V. Pérez-Villar (1997) Observation of a fast rotating wave in tings of coupled chaotic electronic oscillators, Annales Geophysicae, 78, 219-222 (Published) [pdf]
M.N. Lorenzo, I.P. Mariño, V. Pérez-Muñuzuri, M.A. Matías, V. Pérez-Villar (1996) Synchronization waves in arrays of driven chaotic systems, Physical Review E, 54, R3094-R3098 (Published) [pdf]