Publications                                                                                                                   

 

A. Díaz-Poso, M.N. Lorenzo, A. Martí, D. Royé (2025) Heat and cold wave intensity and spatial extent on the Iberian Peninsula: future climate projections (2050–2095)Climate Dynamics 63 ; doi: 10.1007/s00382-025-07699-4

S.M. Vicente-Serrano, S. Beguería, F. Reig, A. Royo, M. Arretxea, M. Gil, B. Latorre, A.E. Kenawy, M. Franquesa, A. Halifa-Marín, M. Adell-Michavila, A. Crespillo, D. Pérez-Pajuelo, F. Domínguez-Castro, D. Barriopedro, J. M. Gutierrez, C. Azorin-Molina, L. GimenoR. Nieto (2025) Developing science-informed maps and climate service for extreme rainfall in SpainNatural Hazards; doi: 10.1007/s11069-025-07731-0

A. Halifa-Marín, S. Beguería, F. Reig, A. Royo-Aranda, M. Arretxea, G. Gil-Guallar, B. Latorre, A. El Kenawy, M. Franquesa, M. Adell-Michavila, A. Crespillo, D. Pérez-Pajuelo, F. Domínguez-Castro, J. M. Gutierrez, C. Azorin-Molina, L. GimenoR. Nieto, S. Vicente-Serrano (2025) Spatial Assessment of Dry-Spell Hazards in Spain: Toward an Operational Climate ServiceWater Scarcity and Drought 1, Issue 1, 4 [link]

M. Wrotek, I. Marginean, Z. Boni, F. Chwałczyk, A. M. Vicedo-CabreraC. Salvador, B. Jancewicz (2025) From inequalities to vulnerability paradoxes: juxtaposing older adults’ heat mortality risk and heat experiencesEnvironmental Health 24; doi: 10.1186/s12940-025-01179-2 

I. Álvarez, H. Pereira, M.N. Lorenzo, A. Picado, J.M. Dias (2025) Assessing the performance of the CERRA dataset in reproducing precipitation and extreme precipitation events over the Iberian PeninsulaJournal of Hydrology: Regional Studies 60 ; doi: 10.1016/j.ejrh.2025.102517

S.M. Vicente-Serrano, J.M. Garrido-Perez, J.C. Fernández-ÁlvarezL. Gimeno-Sotelo, S. Beguería, A. Halifa-Marín, B. Latorre, A. El Kenawy, M. Franquesa, M. Adell-Michavila, F. Domínguez-Castro, D. Barriopedro, L. GimenoR. Nieto, C. Azorin-Molina, M. Andres-Martin, J.M. Gutierrez, R. Garcia-Herrera (2025) Characteristics of widespread extreme precipitation events in Peninsular Spain and the Balearic Islands: spatio-temporal dynamics and driving mechanismsClimate Dynamics 63; doi: 10.1007/s00382-025-07829-y

G. Alvarez-SocorroJ. C. Fernández-Álvarez, L. Cana, D. Suárez-Molina, R. NietoL. Gimeno (2025) Comprehensive Lagrangian assessment of Canary Island precipitation moisture sourcesAtmospheric Research 326 , 108312; doi: 10.1016/j.atmosres.2025.108312

S.M. Vicente-Serrano, Y. Tramblay, F. Reig, J. C. González-Hidalgo, S. Beguería, M. Brunetti, K. Cindric Kalin, L. Patalen, A. Kržic, P. Lionello, M. M. Lima, R.M. Trigo, A. M. El-Kenawy, A. Eddenjal, M. Türkes, A. Koutroulis, V. Manara, M. Maugeri, W. Badi, S. Mathbout, R. Bertalanic, L. Bocheva, I. Dabanli, A. Dumitrescu, B. Dubuisson, S. Sahabi-Abed, F. Abdulla, A. Fayad, S. Hodzic, M. Ivanov, I. Radevski, D. Peña-Angulo, J. Lorenzo-Lacruz, F. Domínguez-Castro, L. Gimeno-Sotelo, R. Garcia-Herrera, M. Franquesa, A. Halifa-Marín, M. Adell-Michavila, I. Noguera, D. Barriopedro, J. M. Garrido-Perez, C. Azorin-Molina, M. Andres-Martin, L. GimenoR. Nieto, M. Carmen Llasat, Y. Markonis, R. Selmi, S. Ben Rached, S. Radovanovic, J.-Michel Soubeyroux, A. Ribes, M. Elmehdi Saidi, S. Bataineh, E. Mahdi El Khalki, S. Robaa, A. Boucetta, K. Alsafadi, N. Mamassis, S. Mohammed, B. Fernández-Duque, S. Cheval, S. Moutia, A. Stevkov, S. Stevkova, M. Yolanda Luna, V. Potopová (2025) High temporal variability not trend dominates Mediterranean precipitationNature, doi: 10.1038/s41586-024-08576-6 

A. Pérez-AlarcónM. Vázquez, A.M. Ramos, R. Nieto, J. G. Pinto, L. Gimeno (2025) Quantifying moisture and sensible heat flux anomalies for compound drought and heat wave events in the Iberian PeninsulaWeather and Climate Extremes 47, 100756 ; doi: 10.1016/j.wace.2025.100756 

L. Gimeno-SoteloJ. C. Fernández-ÁlvarezR. Nieto, S. Vicente-SerranoL. Gimeno (2024) The increasing influence of atmospheric moisture transport on hydrometeorological extremes in the Euromediterranean region with global warmingCommunications Earth & Environment 5 ; doi: 10.1038/s43247-024-01787-9 

L. Paredes‐Fortuny, C. Salvador, A. M. Vicedo-Cabrera, S. Khodayar (2024) Geographical Patterns in Mortality Impacts Due To Heatwaves of Different Characteristics in Spanish CitiesGeoHealth 8, Issue 8; doi: 10.1029/2024GH001092

I. Álvarez, H. Pereira, A. Picado, M.C. Sousa, M.N. Lorenzo, J.M. Dias (2024) Projection of Compound Wind and Precipitation Extreme Events in the Iberian Peninsula Based on CMIP6Earth Systems and Environment; doi: 10.1007/s41748-024-00429-6

M.N. Lorenzo, H. Pereira, I. Álvarez, J.M. Dias (2024) Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) evolution over the Iberian Peninsula during the 21st centuryAtmospheric Research 297, 107132; doi: 10.1016/j.atmosres.2023.107132 

I. Álvarez, A. Díaz-Poso, M.N. Lorenzo, D. Royé (2024) Heat index historical trends and projections due to climate change in the Mediterranean basin based on CMIP6Atmospheric Research 308, 107512; doi: 10.1016/j.atmosres.2024.107512 

I. Álvarez, H. Pereira, M.N. Lorenzo, A. Picado, M.C. Sousa, J.J. Taboada, J.M. Dias (2024) Drought projections for the NW Iberian Peninsula under climate changeClimate Dynamics, doi: 10.1007/s00382-023-07084-z

S. Vicente-Serrano, S. Beguería, M. Tomas-Burguera, L. GimenoR. NietoL. Gimeno-Sotelo, A. El Kenawy (2024) Severe and long-lasting meteorological drought events develop from precipitation deficits of mixed continental and oceanic originCommunications Earth & Environment, Vol. 5, 580 ; doi: 10.1038/s43247-024-01755-3 

L. Gimeno-SoteloM. StojanovicR. SoríR. Nieto, S. Vicente-SerranoL. Gimeno (2024) Nexus between the deficit in moisture transport and drought occurrence in regions with projected drought trendsEnvironmental Research Letters 19; doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/ad560b

L. Gimeno-Sotelo, A. El Kenawy, M. Franquesa, I. Noguera, B. Fernández-Duque, F. Domínguez-Castro, D. Peña-Angulo, F. Reig, R. SoríL. GimenoR. Nieto, S. Vicente-Serrano (2024) Assessment of the Global Relationship of Different Types of Droughts in Model Simulations Under High Anthropogenic EmissionsEarth´s Future 12-4 ; doi: 10.1029/2023EF003629 

L. Gimeno-SoteloR. SoríR. Nieto, S. Vicente-SerranoL. Gimeno (2024) Unravelling the origin of the atmospheric moisture deficit that leads to droughtsNature Water, doi: 10.1038/s44221-023-00192-4 

J. C. Fernández-ÁlvarezM. VázquezA. Pérez-AlarcónR. NietoL. Gimeno (2023) Comparison of Moisture Sources and Sinks Estimated with Different Versions of FLEXPART and FLEXPART-WRF Models Forced with ECMWF Reanalysis DataJournal of Hydrometeorology, doi: 10.1175/JHM-D-22-0018.1

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A. Gonçalves, X. Costoya, R. Nieto, M.L.R. Liberato (2024) Extreme weather events on energy systems: a comprehensive review on impacts, mitigation, and adaptation measuresSustainable Energy Research 11 ; doi: 10.1186/s40807-023-00097-6

J. C. Fernández-ÁlvarezA. Pérez-AlarcónJ. Eiras-Barca, S. Rahimi, R. NietoL. Gimeno (2023) Projected changes in atmospheric moisture transport contributions associated with climate warming in the North AtlanticNature Communications 14, 6476 ; doi: 10.1038/s41467-023-41915-1

A. Gonçalves, R. Nieto, M.L.R. Liberato (2023) Synoptic and Dynamical Characteristics of High-Impact Storms Affecting the Iberian Peninsula during the 2018–2021 Extended WintersAtmosphere 14 Issue 9, 1353 ; doi: 10.3390/atmos14091353 

J. C. Fernández-ÁlvarezA. Pérez-AlarcónJ. Eiras-Barca, A.M. Ramos, S. Rahimi-Esfarjani, R. NietoL. Gimeno (2023) Changes in moisture sources of atmospheric rivers landfalling the Iberian Peninsula with WRF-FlexpartJGR: Atmospheres, doi: 10.1029/2022JD037612 

J. C. Fernández-Álvarez, X. Costoya, A. Pérez-Alarcón, S. Rahimi, R. NietoL. Gimeno (2023) Dynamic downscaling of wind speed over the North Atlantic Ocean using CMIP6 projections: Implications for offshore wind power densityEnergy Reports 9; 873-885; doi: 10.1016/j.egyr.2022.12.036

A. Díaz-Poso, M.N. Lorenzo, A. Martí, D. Royé (2023) Cold wave intensity on the Iberian Peninsula: Future climate projectionsAtmospheric Research 295, 107011 ; doi: 10.1016/j.atmosres.2023.107011

A. Díaz-Poso, M.N. Lorenzo, D. Royé (2023) Spatio-temporal evolution of heat waves severity and expansion across the Iberian Peninsula and Balearic IslandsEnvironmental Research 217, 114864; doi: 10.1016/j.envres.2022.114864

 

Proyecto  TED2021-129152B-C43  financiado por MCIN/AEI/10.13039/501100011033 y por la Unión Europea NextGenerationEU/ PRTR