Moisture sources in the Future


Related Projects: 

 APALPADOR: Advancing the understanding on droughts and compound drought-heatwave large events in current and projected future climate via Lagrangian modelling of moisture and heat transport, 2025-2028. 

 SETESTRELO - High-resolution assessment of North Atlantic moisture transport in current climate and CMIP-6 future projections, 2022-2025

 

 

Published papers related with the topic:

J. C. Fernández-Álvarez, G. Alvarez-Socorro, R. Nieto, L. Gimeno (2026) The 2025–2026 Iberian Atmospheric Rivers Exhibited Moisture Transport Resembling the Early SSP5-8.5 Climate Response, Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 53, Issue 18 ; DOI: 10.1029/2026GL123799  [pdf]

O.L. Córdova-García, R. Sorí, R.M. Trigo, R. Nieto, L. Gimeno, M. Stojanovic, A. Pérez-Alarcón (2026) Enhanced Moisture Uptake Fuels North Atlantic Tropical Easterly Waves Precipitation in a Downscaled CMIP6 Projection, Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 53, Issue 11 ; DOI: 10.1029/2026GL122074 [pdf]

A. Pérez-Alarcón, M. Stojanovic, R. Sorí, R.M. Trigo, R. Nieto, L. Gimeno (2026) Enhanced Moisture Uptake Drives Projected Increases in North Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Precipitation, Ocean-Land-Atmosphere Research (OLAR), Vol. 5, 0145 ; DOI: 10.34133/olar.0145 [pdf]

P. Coll-Hidalgo, L. Gimeno-Sotelo, J. C. Fernández-Álvarez, R. Nieto, L. Gimeno (2026) Future extratropical cyclones with more moisture and fewer associated atmospheric rivers, npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, DOI: 10.1038/s41612-025-01307-2 

A. Pérez-Alarcón, R.M. Trigo, R. Nieto, L. Gimeno (2025) Assessing future changes in tropical cyclone activity in the North Atlantic basin through dynamical downscaling, iScience, Vol. 28, Issue 10 ; DOI: 10.1016/j.isci.2025.113609

J. Eiras-Barca, J. C. Fernández-Álvarez, G. Alvarez-Socorro, S. Rahimi-Esfarjani, P. Carrasco-Pena, R. Nieto, L. Gimeno (2025) Projected changes in moisture sources and sinks affecting the US East Coast and the Caribbean Sea, Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences, DOI: 10.1111/nyas.15289 [pdf]

J. C. Fernández-Álvarez, G. Alvarez-Socorro, A.M. Durán-Quesada, R. Nieto, L. Gimeno (2024) Future Changes in the Contribution of Gulf of Mexico-Caribbean Sea Moisture Source: Impacts on Regional Precipitation Patterns, Earth Systems and Environment, DOI: doi.org/10.1007/s41748-024-00532-8 [pdf]

L. Gimeno-Sotelo, J. C. Fernández-Álvarez, R. Nieto, S. Vicente-Serrano, L. Gimeno (2024) The increasing influence of atmospheric moisture transport on hydrometeorological extremes in the Euromediterranean region with global warming, Communications Earth & Environment 5 ; doi: 10.1038/s43247-024-01787-9

L. Gimeno-Sotelo, E. Bevacqua, J. C. Fernández-Álvarez, D. Barriopedro, J. Zscheischler, L. Gimeno (2024) Projected changes in extreme daily precipitation linked to changes in precipitable water and vertical velocity in CMIP6 models, Atmospheric Research; doi: 10.1016/j.atmosres.2024.107413

J. C. Fernández-Álvarez, A. Pérez-Alarcón, J. Eiras-Barca, S. Rahimi, R. Nieto, L. Gimeno (2023) Projected changes in atmospheric moisture transport contributions associated with climate warming in the North Atlantic, Nature Communications 14, 6476 ; doi: 10.1038/s41467-023-41915-1

J. C. Fernández-Álvarez, A. Pérez-Alarcón, J. Eiras-Barca, A.M. Ramos, S. Rahimi-Esfarjani, R. Nieto, L. Gimeno (2023) Changes in moisture sources of atmospheric rivers landfalling the Iberian Peninsula with WRF-Flexpart, Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, doi: 10.1029/2022JD037612